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Post by peter »

Please note the Edit at the end of the previous post if you have read the post prior to my addition of it. It's an important point that the post as originally written failed to make clear.

:)

Anyway, let's have a look at the days headlines.

The express (deliberately not capitalised - the paper doesn't merit it) tells us that Sunak's bonfire of EU laws will promote growth. How? In what way will divergence from our biggest and closest of trading partners help to boost growth? It's bullshit. Growth is already five percent lower as a result of Brexit, exports down eleven percent. How is further increasing the regulatory standards enshrined in EU laws (as transferred across to our statute books in the bulk transfer thereof) distance from our own going to help?

The Mail wants the pension stripped from this serial rapist policeman. Whatever. He'll have no need of it where he is going. His family (if he has one) might however, so this wants thinking about.

The Mirror points out the nonsensical nature of Number 10's willingness to pay agency nurses who cross the picket lines forty pounds an hour, but their refusal to pay the nurses who are striking, a decent wage in the first place.

The Sun runs with BBC millionaire football host Gary Lineker's commentary on the flagship sports programme Match of the Day being drowned out last night by the sound of a moaning woman in a porn film being heard in the background. It was apparently a prank which Lineker seemed to find funny, but I'm minded to ask what exactly these highly paid people are up to when they are supposed to be working (for the huge wages that we pay for).

At last however we come to the Times, where the top of the page story (above a picture of Greta Thunberg mugging up to the camera as she is carried away from some demonstration by German police) is that Number 10 has instructed that the phrase 'levelling up' is no longer to be used in referring to policies designed to increase equality across the regions. "No one knows what it means", they say. Well I know what it means and I also know why they want to drop it. They want it dropped because its use encourages people to look at whether they are actually achieving it. And it's absolutely cleat that they are not, so they should cut the bullshit and get on with the job they promised to do.

The paper also runs with a story that the first true anti aging drug for human use, a drug that increases the longevity of cells in the mice that it has been tested on, is moving "a step" closer" as trials progress to a point where they may soon begin on human subjects. This of course is the ultimate goal of medicine. Not the cure of disease in humankind generally, but the cure of disease in a small section of the population accompanied with an extension of longevity for the same group. Ultimately the defeat of death and movement into a permanent state of immortality (excepting death by accident or design) for that select few, would be the final goal, but we don't talk about that. As if these self indulgent creeps don't do enough damage in the three score and ten that they are already allotted without giving them free rein across aeons of time to work their destructive mischief.

And finally something in the Telegraph about a contentious area, but one that I for once, have sympathy with the government position on. That of the recent legislative change in Scotland to free up the law surrounding the changing of ones gender, in order to make it "simpler and less complicated" (and easier and faster to achieve thereby).

The government yesterday announced its intention to block the legislation using a hitherto unused piece of law that allows them to effect a veto of sorts under certain circumstances. This has caused uproar from the Scottish Nationalist MPs in both Westminster and Holyrood, with claims that the area is one that clearly falls under the remit of the Scottish Parliament under devolution, and that any attempt to interfere with the passage of this law by Westminster amounts to a gross overstepping of the boundaries set by said devolution legislation. They will, they say, challenge any such interference within the courts to the maximum extent of the law.

In my opinion however, this is politicising a very, very difficult issue just for the sake of it. It seems to me, that in an area where transference of gender from one to the other for mischievous purpose is a very real danger - very real - that it is absolutely right that the ability to do so should not be a simple and easy process. In respect to the sanctity of women's changing rooms, women's prisons, women only clubs etc, it seems absolutely correct (to me) that any man who would have his gender altered in a way that would give him access to such places as demanded by equality legislation, should have to prove the genuineness of his claim to the furthest possible degree. That, absolutely, he should have to provide the court with psychological profiling from expert witnesses that such a change of gender is necessary for the ongoing wellbeing of the pursuant, and is not made on a spurious or frivolous basis. The very last thing you want in such circumstances, I would think, is for the process to be "quick and easy". Surely the wellbeing of the entire group that would class itself as women (because let's not kid ourselves - the huge bulk of individuals looking to cross the gender barrier in this way will be in a male to female direction) should be given consideration, not just the wellbeing of the particular individuals who this might effect? No. This is one of the rare areas in life that complicated is good. Difficult is good. It beggars belief to me that the Scottish Parliament could ever have seen it differently.
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Post by peter »

Number 10 will not be feeling too chipper this morning as it surveys the front pages.

These is a definite sense of the right wing media, normally so reliable in supporting Conservative governments to the hilt, loosing faith with the high tax, low growth stance of the Sunak/Hunt administration, and this is evidenced by the headlines right across the board.

"Cut taxes or loose the election, Tories warned", screams the Mail. "Dyson: Stupid short-sighted policies holding back the economy" shouts the Telegraph.

This all follows a guarded message from the treasury not to expect any tax cuts in the Chancellor's forthcoming statement on March 15, which, by accounts, will be a "slimmed down affair."

Also not likely to help the PM's digestion are the reports that a group of two dozen (former) Liz Truss supporters gathered in the office of ex communities secretary Simon Clarke to form a loose association being called 'The Conservative Growth Goup.' Liz Truss apparently attended the meeting herself, but did not speak. There have been rumblings over the past couple of days about an insurgency within the Tory ranks (albeit small) centered around 'Liz of the 42 days', but it sounded so ridiculous that I hadn't paid it much attention. Today however, with the report of said meeting in the Telegraph and a side headline on the 'i' reading "Trussites are plotting - and the PM risks loosing control of his party", it really looks as though the inconceivable might.....well.....be being conceived.

Key Brexit supporter and vacuum manufacturer James Dyson's ripping into the Sunak administration - and the key position it is given on the front of the Telegraph - gives you a clue as to which way the wind is blowing. And the government's fortunes won't be helped a bit by consternation that has been expressed in the current gathering in Davos, about the direction that the government is taking. High tax is anathema to business, no matter what the pressing circumstances that demand it may be, and Dyson's broadside about this and the regulations and red-tape that are holding back the economy are not going to do Sunak any favours at all. In truth, if you read what Dyson is saying, he's largely trying to deflect blame onto someone else for the disaster which the Brexit he championed has been, blaming Sunak's policies for the tanking inward investment figures, when (as any fule no) it was Brexit that pushed away money that would otherwise have been pouring into our shores. What business in its right mind would invest in the UK and deny itself access to the huge single market of the EU thereby, when it could simply invest in production over there instead.

But all in all, there is a distinct change in tone in the press today. A chill wind blowing in the direction of Downing St that has the prescient feeling of major trouble for the current incumbent ahead. No - if I was Mr Sunak I wouldn't be happy this morning one little bit!

--------�--0-------------

The Times has another headline that Sunak won't be happy about - but not one that would surprise many of the cynical ones of us who remember as far back as the leadership campaign. At that time an embarrassing video emerged of Sunak boasting to a Conservative constituency gathering in a wealthy are - Henley or somewhere - that he had caused money to be diverted from poor Northern constituencies to their coffers instead, because "your constituencies have needs as well."

Well true to his word it emerges that in the first round of dishing out cash from the levelling up fund, it is the 'impoverished ' areas of Richmond (Sunak's constituency), Rutland and the Malvern Hills are all getting funding, but none of the so called 'red-wall' constituencies of the North are. (The tories seem to have given up on these short term gains they made at the last election. ) Perhaps not surprisingly, double the number of tory constituencies are awarded levelling up money compared to Labour ones, though Sir Kier Stamer's constituency of Holborn does get some.

But all in all the announcements have been greeted with derision. Conservative MPs from the North have themselves said that the awardings make a mockery of the levelling up agenda, asking how can it be that the rich South East of the country qualifies for more than the impoverished North. One particularly interesting award was that made to Catterick Garrison, a town in the PM's constituency that secured 19 million pounds for the improvement of its high Street. Well, you can see how it would need it - being rated as the 251st most deprived council area in the country and all.

But this is just another example of Sunak's mismanagement of his party since taking office. He now has so many factions ranged against him - the Truss, the Johnson, the red-wall, the ERG, the one-nation Tory left, the tory right, the tory remainers.....you name them, they're all there - that it's almost impossible to see hin surviving. It could be however that it is the very range different factions within the party that serves to preserve him. Short of blowing the party to pieces, it's hard to see them doing anything in unison that could unseat him.

But this will be cold comfort to him as he heads up to the North of the country today. He's not dead in the water - but he's flapping around like a swimmer in deeper waters than his ability would suggest is good for him.
The truth is a Lion and does not need protection. Once free it will look after itself.

....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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Post by peter »

Let's just be clear (as our politicians so love to say before they try to bamboozle us with diversions or half-truths in respect of the subject at hand).

Sunak and Hunt, and their associated bunch of front bench nonentities that we laughingly call a cabinet, are telling us that the inflation we are suffering and that they are fighting so hard to rein in, is caused by the war in Ukraine and its effect on energy prices, and the aftermath of dealing with the covid pandemic.

This is as far, and fair enough, as it goes.

But let's just flesh it out with what they are not saying.

Our inflation problem has been caused by the huge splurge of borrowing and quantitative easing that Rishi Sunak indulged in, in order to finance the policies of lockdown, not least the furlough scheme and business support which this demanded. Secondly, the the Brexit of which Sunak was staunchly in favour of and lobbied on the Leave side tirelessly to achieve that end. Thirdly Putin's invasion of Ukraine and fourthly, the disastrous mini-budget of Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng that threw the economy generally and the mortgage market specifically, into turmoil.

If Sunak and Hunt want to be seen to lead the honest and straightforward government that they claimed they did (after the Truss fiasco and the years of Johnson's moral vacuum and total absence of anything approaching veracity), then let's have the truth unvarnished and whole, and not just the sliver of the story in which it would seem that they can be absolved from blame.

-----------0---------

Actually, not a good day for Sunak at all yesterday. Not only did he make an ill judged speech in Morecambe Lands, in which he suggested that people who did not understand why he was not cutting taxes were idiots, but he also got busted (possibly - the police are investigating) not wearing a seatbelt in the back of a car on the journey down there.

It won't help that the Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey said yesterday that he thought Britain had "turned the corner" on inflation and our route out of the recession was looking better than expected.

The Telegraph ran the "idiots" story on the front page, no doubt aware that most of its readership (not to mention its owners) want to see tax cuts now, not at some future unspecified point. It also made it plain that there is a large corpus of opinion that Sunak's policies are damaging and slowing down our recovery from the pandemic. In truth, the paper, along with most of its readership, far preferred the Liz Truss direction of tax cuts, followed by tax cuts and then tax cuts. The Sunak/Hunt model of high tax, low growth (which they tolerated simply because of the chaos that the Truss mini-budget threw us into had, somehow, to be got back under control) is not at all to their taste. Now that the panic of the Tuss debacle is disappearing from the rearview mirror, their short memories are kicking in, and they want to get back to fully right wing conservative policies as soon as possible. Either Sunak is on board with that or he is the enemy. At the moment he looks like the enemy.

The front page if the 'i' is particularly interesting. They have devoted their entire page to describing the effective eulogy that the EU has given Kier Stamer in Davos. He can, it appears, do no wrong in their eyes. He is a man who through slow advancement and patience, can bring the EU and UK back closer together, to a point of mutual agreement and advantage.

Why has the paper done this? Is it to try to damage Kier Stamer with the Brexit voting portion of the country who might have otherwise be tempted to vote for him at the next election, or to win him favour with those brexiteers now suffering from buyers remorse? Is it to buy him kudos with remainers who are not natural Labour voters, and was the story run with his approval, against his approval, or without his prior knowledge?

Blessed if I can say, but it could be any of these things or indeed something else I haven't thought of.

Any ideas?
The truth is a Lion and does not need protection. Once free it will look after itself.

....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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Post by peter »

I'm entirely sympathetic with the German administration in respect of the bind they find themselves in with respect to the sending of tanks to the Ukrainian conflict.

The truth is that if tanks are sent - and Putin has said that he would consider this a major escalation of the war - it is Germany that would bear the brunt of any reprisals. This is the truth that is not being spoken in all of the media reports (and I owe it to yesterday's Telegraph for pointing it out - a single voice amongst the multiple reasons put forward by other outlets) and underlines a political dimension to this decision that is not immediately apparent.

America is very keen for German to send its Leopard 2 tanks (an act that in itself would free up the way for other nations to also send tanks) but when it comes to sending its own M1 Abrams tanks, less so. "To hard to maintain.... errr.....very heavy on fuel", said Jo Biden as he twisted the arm of the Germans to take all of the risk. Chancellor Olaf Shultz has said that he would only send the German tanks if it were matched by the sending of American equivalent numbers, but to date Biden has ruled this out. It is, it seems, okay for the Germans to take the risk, but America must be seen to be limiting its help to defensive armaments alone. It seems to me that if the Russian reprisals were to stretch to Germany - God help us, even in a nuclear response - then it would be impossible for the USA to remain distant and uninvolved even if their own tanks were still sitting at home. The UK's promise of fourteen tanks (about all we actually have) is so insignificant in terms of the Ukrainian need that it comes with little risk; it is more of a symbolic gesture than a serious operational contribution.

But the Ukrainian need for these tanks is great. Putin's army is by Ukrainian accounts consolidating and preparing for a spring offensive. These tanks need to be on the battlefield by this point in order to stop this from sweeping away any gains the Ukrainians have made to date - gains it should be said in retaking their own land which lends weight to President Zelensky's argument that the supplying of tanks is not a shift to an offensive strategy from a defensive one. In his argument the entire war is defensive, irrespective of what armaments are used. I take his point.

Anyway, Chancellor Shultz is coming under sustained pressure to lift his objections and sanction the export of tanks from other countries even if he won't commit his own tanks. Poland has said that if it is not given the German 'permission' to do so, it will send tanks unilaterally (against the law because it is Germany that holds the export licence for such armaments) effectively relying on the assumption that no case would be brought against them if they were seen to be acting in the Ukrainian interest while other countries were stalling. Such a move would however be a serious fracture in the Western alliance stand of joint action in this conflict, and could have serious long term consequences.

It looks to me as though the German Chancellor will at some point soon have to give ground and agree to send tanks. He won't like it, and neither will his people, but it is part of the deal with the American hegemony that they pretty much call the shots in return for maintaining their protective umbrella over the West. When the tanks do (almost inevitably) reach Ukrainian soil, a watershed moment in which we fall onto the side of a like it or not escalating war will have been passed. It isn't a comfortable thought, but this act will bring the likelihood of the thing going nuclear a significant step closer. The Germans know it and know that if it does it is likely that they will be on the sharp end of it. No wonder they are hesitating.

------------0------------

"You will open a can of worms, Brexit negotiators warn Stamer." So tells us the 'I' this morning. I'm assuming that the negotiators have to be individuals linked with Sir David Frost's team - and the can of worms in question, their own substandard deal which even Tory brexiteers now concede was shite. As I've said before, the leaving of the EU was never the problem - it was the manner in which it was handled, the landing ground if you like, that was so badly botched - and that comes down absolutely on the shoulders of Johnson, Frost and the negotiating team that mismanaged the thing so atrociously to absolutely make a crisis out of what, handled properly really could have had some up sides.

The wisdom of hindsight is a fine thing, but the fact is that a can of worms, if you lift the lid, will still at worst be only a can of worms when you put it back on. You can't make it any worse.

----------0--------

The media and propaganda onslaught against the NHS continues apace with the contributions of ex Health Minister Sajid Javid in the Times. He's given an interview in which he says that a "hard headed conversation about the future of the health service" must be had, and that in his opinion, the introduction of charges to see a GP is "crucial" to the service's survival.

Controversial stuff, but calculated to be so. What Javid, as a backbench MP is doing, is to act as an outrider. He suggests, from his position of relative security, what ministers and front bench Cabinet members of the government cannot say. In so doing he shifts the 'Overton window' - the bandwidth of any given area, be it the health service and privatisation thereof, or any other subject - that is considered to be politically discussable on any given topic. Where the issue of privatisation, or reducing the free at the point of service principle of the NHS, is outside that which any government minister can approach, it may be done by an outlier like Javid (and is especially more influential because of his status as an ex minister of health) without risk. Once the public is sufficiently softened up by familiarity with such ideas as a result of continuously hearing them raised by outriders, then the acceptability of hearing the topic broached by ministers becomes possible. It's a tactic that Thatcher used to prepare the public for the privatisation of the publicly owned utility companies, and now they are wheeling it out in respect of the NHS. Alongside the negative propaganda campaign, the constant telling of us how bad the service is, they are laying the groundwork for getting their hands onto the biggest prize of all. The golden goose for business - all their lottery prizes and Christmases rolled into one - the NHS.

----0----

The other day I was at work, and speaking with a former colleague of mine, a young lass who now works for HMV selling DVD's and music CD's etc. I wanted to know if the old film of George Harrison's Concert for Bangladesh was still available, but wasn't sure if it would be appropriate for me to go into the shop to ask for it.

"I'd feel a bit funny about it," I said, "being a sixty five years old fuddy duddy." "D'you think they'd think I was a weirdo?"

"Oh no," she replied. "We've got a section of foreign adult films that a lot of old men come in to look at. They wouldn't think it was strange at all."



:lol:
The truth is a Lion and does not need protection. Once free it will look after itself.

....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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'Of course - you know you have.'
'Then let it end.'

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Post by peter »

Prepare for the return of Boris Johnson to the headlines in the course of the next few weeks as the investigation into the whether he deliberately misled parliament by the parliamentary privileges committee kicks off.

It looks like being a pretty good show as the whole thing is to be televised and the performers in the lead roles are......interesting...... to say the least.

Johnson himself will (as always) be centre stage, represented by his lawyer Lord Pannick who, while a member of the House of Lords is still a practising barrister specialising in public law and human rights.

The committee itself is to be chaired by Labour MP Harriet Harman following the stepping down of the previous chair, Chris Bryant for reasons of not being impartial. The seven member committee will include both Tory and Labour MPs (Tory in the majority of four to three) and will include veteran MP Charles Walker who, it may be guaranteed, will put up an interesting performance.

Witnesses will be called and questioned on all aspects of the affair, and the evidence as gathered in the Sue Gray report will also be considered. Given the recent reports of Johnson's having commented as he left the - Simon Case party was it? - that it was about the most socially *undistanced* gathering occurring in London that night (reports of shagging in cupboards and broom closets abound), his claims not to have known it was a party are going to seem a bit strained. One imagines that the line of questioning pertaining to these events might get quite interesting.

Amazingly there remains a small group of hard Johnson supporters in the Commons who believe a return to the top position is still possible for their man (no surprise that Nadine Dorries is one of these) and this committee hearing is the first hurdle that they have to get over in order to get the blond prevaricator back on track.

So safe to say that this group will not be over happy with the report in this morning's Sunday Times that the man who Johnson appointed as chairman of the BBC had a week or two earlier organised a line of credit for the PM of eight hundred thousand pounds in order to "fund his lifestyle" while living at Number 10. This is exactly the kind of story that they do not need if they are going to polish up Johnson's reputation in time for a renewed pitch at the leadership.

Johnson himself is keeping a fairly low profile at the moment, writing his memoirs from the luxury confines of his swanky 20 million pound London apartment (borrowed) and his kudos will have been done no damage by his recent awarding of the freedom of the city of Kiev by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who seems to regard him as a personal friend. Zelensky had better watch out. Friends of Johnson seem to be at particular risk of being tapped for a loan or favour at at least some point or other in their relationship - his kind of friendship can be expensive to maintain as many have found out to their cost. But in fairness to Johnson, he has been a trusty supporter of the Ukrainian cause in their travails and has earned the respect Zelensky has shown him here, if nowhere else.

But as an aside, an interesting point raised in a YouTube posting I saw by Phil Morehouse, was that it was not so much a threat from Johnson that Sunak had to worry about as opposed to that presented by little known (outside right wing ex Tory supporters that is) emergent political party Reform UK.

Already running at around eight or nine percent in the polls, the party (an evolution of Nigel Farage's Brexit Party, but with a new leader) is preparing to run candidates in upwards of 500 constituencies in the next election. Should their poll ratings get even higher, say above ten percent, (and there is a fair likelihood of this said Morehouse), then they could absolutely rip the conservative result to pieces come the election. They wouldn't need to win - they can't expect to do this with any realistic chance - in order to devastate the Tory result. Just by their splitting the Tory vote by that ten plus percent, they would carve off sufficient MPs from the Tory result to leave them (the Tories) devastated. It would probably be the end of the party with the various factions splitting away from each other as their fragile coalition breaks apart.

Come to think of it, Reform UK might get my vote on that basis alone!

8O
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....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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Post by peter »

Boris Johnson has nipped back over to Ukraine as a quieter option to staying in the UK and facing flak of a different kind over "the exhaust fumes" of his rotten premiership which continue to dog his successor Rishi Sunak even as he sits over his cornflakes this morning.

He has the smarting issue of having been nabbed for not wearing a seatbelt (not Johnson's doing that one - he prefers a different kind of activity in the back of cars, and you can't get a seatbelt around that one) and then the issues of slippery Nadhim and his tax returns and the BBC boss who paved the way for Boris Johnson to get an 800K limit on his credit card (as you do) before being awarded his nice little earner in return.

It has to be said that Nadhim Zahawi is beginning to look like a very careless man indeed - sufficiently careless in fact that one wonders how he ever amassed an eighty million pound fortune starting from nothing and indeed whether he should even be allowed out on his own, never mind being the Party Chairman of the Conservative Party.

He, you will remember, carelessly included the cost of heating and lighting his riding stables in his parliamentary expenses claims a few years ago - and now he has carelessly forgotten to pay the inland revenue a few million quid of taxes.

Phew! I'm glad he's only careless. For a moment there I thought it might be that he was a shiftless b*****d who couldn't be trusted as far as you could throw an elephant by the tail. It seems that he is just the sort of man who should be leading the Tory Party after all.

---------0---------

For some reason David Cameron saw fit to make a prediction as to when our exports would reach the symbolically significant figure of one trillion pounds, and he reckoned it would be in 2020.

The date was then moved by Boris Johnson back to 2030 and has now, it seems, been moved yet further away to 2035.

The reason for this slippage, need I say - Brexit. Exports to the EU are down by fifteen percent with around ten percent of businesses that prior to our leaving were large exporters now saying that they had significantly lowered their figures and were even considering stopping exporting at all. Significant numbers of small and medium sized businesses have already ceased exporting.

But none of this is significant according to the headline in the Mail, which puts the blame for our decline as a nation firmly on the shoulders of the people.

We have, it screams at us, become a "Something for Nothing" nation. Fifty percent of households take more from the state than they pay in and the top ten percent of earners pay over half of all the income tax collected.

And so they should, the bastards! If they were a little less greedy when it came to writing out their own paychecks and a bit more generous when it came to writing out the ones of their employees, the figures might be a bit different. It's all very well the Mail crying out about the number of households surviving on state handouts, but a huge proportion of those households are doing so because the income they get from the miserable jobs they do is so poor that they cannot begin to survive on it. If you don't pay people properly then they can't pay any tax and have to survive on handouts. It's not rocket science. Surely even those people stupid enough to buy the Mail can see that?

Or maybe not.......

In truth, it's a headline designed to get the demographic that form their readership (the low IQ right wing part of the population) foaming at the mouth and a simultaneous goad to the rest of us. Quite deliberately done with nothing more than mischievous intent. Cut the paper up into squares and wipe your arse with it. It's cheaper than buying toilet paper an act of environmental as well as intellectual friendliness at the same time.

-----------0---------

And the Tesco boss tells us that "It's possible" that some retailers are using the cost of living crisis to hike prices and scrape off an extra bit of profit from their hard pressed customers. Now who'd have thought it?

:roll:
The truth is a Lion and does not need protection. Once free it will look after itself.

....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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Post by peter »

Thank you to the guy Stewart on the James O'Brien show today - a civil servant who six months ago phoned in and blew the lid on the corrupt practice's that he and his colleagues were being asked to follow in support of the Johnson regime. He was sacked for making the call and today phoned back to give his views on the current administration that has replaced the lot he worked under.

He said that it was clear that nothing has changed.

He put the thing simply. I come to you knowing that there is a job in your gift coming up and also, by press rumour if nothing else, that you are short of cash. I suggest that I might know a guy who could extend a large line of credit to you and two weeks later, when said job comes up, I am awarded it. If this is not corruption I don't know what is.

The Chancellor of the Exchequer is awarded the job at the head of the treasury at the very same time that he is being investigated, if not by a the department he will head, then the department who share a policy partnership with it. This (as Stewart said) is about as close to a definition of a conflict of interest as you could get.

Put it this way. If the first is not corruption and the second is not a conflict of interest, then what exactly is?
The truth is a Lion and does not need protection. Once free it will look after itself.

....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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'Of course - you know you have.'
'Then let it end.'

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Post by peter »

The problem with situations like the Zahawi tax scandal and the Johnson BBC chairmanship shenanigans is that they tend to dominate the news to the exclusion of everything else.

Not that they are not important - they are - but there is only so much that can be said about them. Once the inevitable inquiries have been announced, the go-to means of drawing a line under these embarrassing little squalls from the government point of view, there is very little more that can be usefully added. In short, they become dull, which is of course exactly what both the individuals involved and the government want. They want attention to wane, other issues and stories to come to the fore, and the scandals to disappear in the rearview mirror. (As an aside, it's amusing that the same individuals at the centre of these affairs, Zahawi and BBC chairman Richard Sharp in this case, who spend so much energy dodging press questions about what has gone on, once an inquiry is announced, immediately state their burning desire to get before it and lay out all the material necessary to "clear up any misunderstanding". Why don't they just come clean to the press/media and save all of the trouble?)

But in the spirit of trying to find something else to talk about this morning, I turned to the press to see what other significant material was dominating world attention....... and was immediately confronted by the Times headline, " Forget Fido: mans best friend could be a very intelligent hog."

Pigs it seems, are quite as intelligent as dogs (in my experience that must be not very, then) but are less gifted when it comes to communication skills. Well I'll sleep better knowing that! You'd think in a time of both domestic and global crisis, the supposed pinnacle of our national journalism could rise to better than that. Still, I suppose Rupert Murdoch needs to be pandered to with a story tailored for his particular level of interest (not being interested in political integrity or the quality of democracy in our countries or anything like that).

What else is there?

Boris Johnson is writing essentially the entire front page of the Mail. It's a very important story that needs telling about the ravages of war in the Ukraine right across the whole region where Russian forces are occupying the nation, and I have no doubt about Johnson's conviction in telling it. Even he could not fail to be moved by the plight of the Ukrainian people as their country is torn apart around them and they are exposed to God only knows what depredations by the forces that have invaded their lives. But genuine as it no doubt is, Johnson will be well aware that the Ukraine is the one place where his cachet is of sufficient quality in order to resurrect his failing political ambitions. As with everything he does, the self-interest can never be separated from the service side of his actions.

A couple of the right wing papers use the terrible story of an asylum seeker who murdered an army recruit after gaining entry "posing as a child" in order to undermine the entire immigration/asylum system. It plays well with their readership, already convinced that anyone seeking to enter this country must be coming for nefarious or scrounging purposes, and is guaranteed to draw more support in for whatever punitive scheme Suella Braverman comes up with next to punish those with the temerity to want to emulate her own parents, and come to these shores.

And finally to return to the Zahawi affair, the Star are congratulating themselves on having saved 60p on a lettuce. They were going to nip down to Aldi's to get one in order to put it up against the embattled Tory Party Chairman (in one of their standard competitions to see which would last longer), but they decided that Zahawi was so screwed that it wasn't worth the bother.

Not the most inspired post this morning, but hey - I don't write the papers!

;)
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Post by peter »

Every time I start thinking I might begin to like James O'brien again he opens his mouth and says something stupid.

Yesterday, considering the question as to why the German Chancellor was digging his heels in over sending allowing tanks to be sent into Ukraine - a stalling of the inevitable that has been reversed overnight - he said, "Everyone and his mother now agrees that this should be done, with the exception of the one usual suspect who thinks we should cut straight to the peace talks, Jeremy Corbyn, ..."

How stupid can you get? Of course there should be peace talks; now, immediately, as of this minute. Who in their right minds wouldn't want immediate peace talks. If for no other reason than while they are talking no-one is dying. But for some bizarre reason O'brien seems to think wanting this (what will inevitably be what brings this conflict to a halt) put's Corbyn somehow out on a limb.

Instead however, the German Chancellor has caved into pressure, both internal and external, and agreed to the sending in of tanks. He has at least wrung out an agreement from the Americans to send in their own tanks as well - a thing that they were loath to do because they know that doing so increases their own involvement and the risk incumbent thereof - but still, the fact remains that the world is a significantly more dangerous place than it was when we went to bed last night. That the Russian leader will take a dim view of this is beyond question and it cannot be argued anymore with anything approaching veracity that this is purely a regional conflict between Russia and Ukraine. It also moves the war into an aggressive rather than defensive phase, tanks being essentially a weapon of offence, and signals the start of a dangerous escalation that might bring about the end of the world just as easily as it could bring about the end of the war. It is almost a given that if it were to look like Russia were in danger of invasion - and where else would this go if the Russian army were to find itself on the ropes; it would start with Crimea and then move into Russia proper - China would intervene in support of her, and it isn't difficult to imagine where this could lead.

So while no-one wants to talk to an aggressor in a war, it is in the best interest of everyone that no possibility of deescalation is ever missed. The only ones who should feel in anyway pleased about the German change of position should be the arms manufacturing industry - the ones for whom peace is anathema. The rest of us should feel nothing but the shifting, the inching one degree closer, of the sword of Damocles, hanging over our heads. Corbyn seems to understand this. O'brien clearly doesn't.

---------0---------

Chancellor Hunt continues to enrage the right wing press in the UK by his refusal to bow to demands that he should "Cut our taxes!", despite the news that borrowing was significantly higher last month than the treasury expected it to be. The Mail takes the tack that he must 'go for growth ' which of course means cutting taxes. The Telegraph reports that he is being urged to do so as well, both by his own MPs and economists from beyond Westminster. The Express has a slightly different take, warning him that if he continues with a rumoured bringing forward of a proposed increase in the pension age from 66 to 68 (to 2035 instead of 2046) then there will be hell to pay.

There is a general feel in the press of dissatisfaction with the Sunak administration, most significantly from the sides from which one would expect to see most loyalty for a Conservative prime minister. Sunak himself will be expecting to have to answer questions in the House today about his party chairman's tax affairs, and the thorny issue of Boris Johnson's appointment of Richard Sharp as chairman of the BBC, following the latter's having 'facilitated' a lone of 800K to the cash strapped former PM.

All in all these are sticky times for the Prime Minister and he will not be a happy man. Uneasy lies the head that wears the crown, said Shakespeare and Sunak will be feeling the truth of this statement as we speak. Couldn't happen to a nicer guy.

----------0----------

Lastly, we have Ferrari saying that they intend to put speakers in their electric cars to simulate the sound of their engines, our fridges and smartphones are apparently spying on us, and finally humans apparently have an inbuilt ability to communicate with chimpanzees (so at least say researchers into the subject of inter-species communication in the Telegraph today). Walking down the highstreet of the town where I live and looking at the people around me, now why don't I find that surprising.

;)
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Post by peter »

With agreement to supply tanks to Ukraine pretty much universal across the 'allied' front now, it is fair to say that this is now a war between the West and Russia in all but name.

The tanks, when they get there - and President Zelensky effectively wants them yesterday (and who can blame him) - will be added to all of the other artillery that the West has provided, pretty much making up the full set. All that is required to give it the last lick of paint are the boots on the ground.

The interviewer I saw on the BBC lst night, asking questions of one of the leading German politicians who had finally twisted Chancellor Scholtz's arm into agreeing to suppy the tanks, asked whether this was not a "provocation" that the Russian's were bound to react to. The politician, needless to say, was reticent to agree, saying that the provocation was all on the Russian side as they should not be in the country in the first place.

Fair point, but had the BBC news presenter been doing her job properly she would have been bound to put the more salient point, that argue however you may about the justification for the decision, it could not be denied that it represented an escalation. I see that this mornings press is (in some quarter's at least) being honest about this and not shying away from the hard truth.

It seems that around 100 tanks will ultimately be supplied. President Zelensky wanted 300, and has already said that he needs more supplies - not just of tanks, but right across the board - but the Allies seem to have decided that the tanks promised should be enough to allow Ukrainian forces to hold their lines and make a push forward. There is a real problem that in supplying tanks in this piecemeal way, they will not be enough to achieve the outright victory that the Ukrainian President wants. Presumably this stops at driving Russian forces off all Ukrainian territory including the Crimea, not actually invading Russia and toppling the regime as well - though this might be in the minds of the Americans in their dreams, who can say. Sending too few tanks is to risk seeing them 'burn' (as President Putin has promised they will) in increment, rather than be able to finish the job. It also puts huge questions about our ability to maintain our own defences (ie the UK's specifically) and I'm sure this applies to other smaller nations as well, if not the US.

But all in all these are dark days indeed. It is a long time since war on this scale has threatened to engulf Europe. I had never expected to see it in my lifetime, but it seems that we do not learn our lessons and that history is doomed to repeat itself. It cannot be long now before this conflict spreads out to engulf a wider area, and at this point much lamentation will occur, in the press most especially, wondering how we have got into this position. But by then it will be too late of course - the dogs of war, once unleashed, are not easily recalled to their kennels - and we will be committed. And sad to say, it is unlikely that any such spreading will be contained to Europe. We sit on the verge of a conflict that could easily result in a global conflagration - Western policy toward China has been pushing this way for a long time, and the ground is fertile for this to come to fruition.

Oddly, I suppose that this is effectively capitalism (or different manifestations thereof) going to war with itself. The Russian kleptocracy, the odd Chinese marriage of mass consumerism and production and capitalism (all carried out under an authoritarian overseeing that still pretends toward communism) and finally the American fear of loosing its status as first among equals on the world stage. Unlike the UK (who after all, were given very little choice in the matter) they will not release the reins on their hegemony of world domination without a fight, even to the point of seeing the world burn in the process.

Not a happy post, I'll be the first to admit, but if you are going to go down these pathways (as opposed to taking the Corbyn/Churchill route of "Jaw Jaw" being better than "War War") then it is as well to do so with your eyes open to the possibilities. At this time, it seems that there are few voices calling for caution - the politicians of the Alliance say they will not allow this to escalate into a broader conflict and I suppose that we must trust them. But posterity will look back on this time (it is to be hoped) as the point at which there was still time to avert a crisis. Whether we do so or not is up to us.
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Post by wayfriend »

peter wrote:it could not be denied that it represented an escalation.
I would argue that it is not an escalation. A wimp who learns martial arts because a bully is pounding him every day is not "escalating" anything.

Putin calls it escalation. Because he promotes the idea that Ukraine has provoked this war and poor Russia has no choice but to defend itself. It's all part of the propaganda art of alternate world-building.

Have you bought into his reality?
peter wrote:and finally the American fear of loosing its status as first among equals on the world stage.
What about the fear of Russia taking over all of Europe bite by bite through small aggressions followed by appeasement by the West, lather rinse repeat.

(I hope you remember Crimea. You may need to google Abkhazia and South Ossetia.)

Maybe you have bought into it.
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Post by peter »

I think you'd be on firmer ground arguing that it was a justified escalation Wayfriend; by your criteria nothing would constitute an escalation up to and including the pushing of the nuclear button. Of course it's an escalation - even our most ardently anti-Russian media accept this. The argument should rather be whether it is an escalation that will result in a quicker end to the war (by defeat of Putin) and a saving of lives in the longer term or not.

There is a historical context to the invasion of Crimea that your answer seems to imply you are not aware of and I have neither the time nor energy to go into here, but suffice to say that some seriously heavyweight individuals from both sides of the Atlantic (Kissinger being one) had criticisms of Western foreign policy (and eastward expansion) toward Russia both before and after their annexation of the region in 2014.

All wars end in diplomacy either before or after the annihilation of one (or both) of the belligerents. As I say, I'm of the opinion that sooner rather than later would be the desired course here, but given the rhetoric of our leaders there seems to be little stomach for it at the moment. But it begs the question at least, what is our endgame here? Pushing Russia out of the Donbas and Luhansk? Crimea? Regime change in Russia? Wise at this point, I think, to know what exactly it is that our leaders intend to come out of this and at the moment they have not made this clear.

---------0---------

So UK car production has fallen to its lowest level since 1956 - but it's nothing to do with Brexit. It's down to covid, a world shortage in semiconductors, economic factors such as falling demand, but nothing to do with Brexit. The fact that cars produced in the UK can no longer be shipped to the European mainland without a significant increase in administrative costs, never mind tarrifs, has had no impact.

This week a company that produces electric car batteries in the North of England has gone into administration. Rising costs and the inability of the company to secure orders are cited as the reasons. Because who wants to order batteries from a company in the UK when getting them to their destinations on the continent will be so much hassle. Better to buy from manufacturers on the European mainland from where access will be smooth and facilitated. But read the reports - no mention of Brexit.

Brexit has become the elephant in the room for our tanking economy and yet neither our politicians (certainly our leadership) or our media has the courage to call it out. Until they do, until they are prepared to admit that closer cooperation with the EU is going to be a key factor in our recovery......then we are screwed.
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Post by peter »

So HMRC failed to disclose that then Chancellor of the Exchequer Nadhim Zahawi was under investigation when approached in a freedom of information request by the Financial Times at the time of his appointment. This, they say, was as a result of "a series of administrative errors."

Ah - I understand. It was in no way deliberate. Not an attempt to shield one of their own or deprive the public of information that they had a right to know in respect of an individual who would aspire to hold one of the two top positions of trust and responsibility in the country. A position granting the holder power to effect the lives of every man, woman and child in the land. It was rather just a case of carelessness.

---------0---------

For Zahawi himself, the net seems to be closing ever tighter, as now there are questions being raised about a thirty million pound loan from an unnamed source to his wife's property company. Sunak is sticking close to him for the while - but with reservations. He (Sunak) has said that "there are questions to answer" and that he is waiting for his ethics advisor (yes - he has got one, after neither Truss nor Johnson seemed to think it necessary) to report on the results of his examination of the matter.

Zahawi, currently chairman of the Conservative Party and Minister without portfolio, is clinging on to his position for dear life, but the momentum seems to be against him. He suffers from being an evasive and slippery kind of character, a man who Johnson inevitably wheeled out in order to 'spin over' the most egregious of his many transgressions while in office, when they were exposed. A man one instinctively mistrusts and one who you would more expect to be trying to sell you a pension plan (which you wouldn't buy) than occupying high office in a position of unequalled trust and responsibility in the government.

Still, he may yet survive, to stand alongside Suella Braverman and Dominic Raab as individuals who are so compromised by their actions (Braverman for the email scandal in which she sent information of national security in open emails to friends, and Raab by multiple bullying accusations currently under investigation) that their presence on the front benches is a stain on the government, a smell that hovers over it, and cannot but cling on to the Prime Minister himself, try as he might to convince us that he is a man of honour.

But this is UK politics in the post Johnson era, although I suppose it would have to be Blair that started the downward slide into dishonesty spun as the opposite. Alas,it is not going to change now until the people actually vote for an individual not cast in this mold, not prepared to compromise his or her beliefs just to win or hold onto political power. And this person is not the leader of the opposition, Sir Kier Stamer. Most definitely not.

--------0--------

Excess deaths not related to covid are currently running at around fifteen hundred to two thousand per week in the UK, yet this is neither being reported nor seems to be of concern to either the government or the department of health. Moreover, the data for the UK seems to be consistent with that from the USA, Canada and Australia, not to mention the twenty five plus European countries from which it is available. And to add to this, the deaths are up in all age groups, not just in the vulnerable classes within the population, and again, consistent across all developed nations from which data is available.

Given the degree of concern over public health and mortality exhibited during the covid crisis, you'd have thought that data such as this would have had our governments stamping their feet for answers. The World Health Organisation giving speeches and at home Chris Whittey had Partic Valance making predictions from their wooden podiums and Clive Myrie reporting in sombre tones on the mounting death toll, Rishi Sunak making statements telling us to hold our nerve, thatwe willget through it......but not a squeak.

Behind the scenes, no doubt these figures are being analysed, investigated and quantified - but for sure they will receive no media coverage, no official recognition and comment, until the reasons behind them can be assured not to be of a nature that would reflect badly upon anything we were encouraged to do during those difficult days of the pandemic.

I wonder if any of this will fall under the remit of the forthcoming covid enquiry. Somehow I have my doubts.
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So Nadhim Zahawi goes to the wall after being found to be in multiple breaches of the ministerial code by PM Sunak's ethics advisor.

Basically it all goes back to the various appointments he has had to ministerial positions, at which point he should have mentioned that he was being investigated by the tax office for nonpayment of tax, an omission that he was subsequently fined for.

Unusually, he was sacked before being given the option to throw himself on his sword, and while this is being presented on the news as because of the egregious nature of his offence, everybody and his mother knows that the real reason is that Sunak has been presented as being weak over the whole affair and now wants to claw back some kudos. Zahawi, they say is pretty much out for good, but the man is sufficiently slippery that nothing can be ruled out when the Tories find themselves a new leader.

The media speculates that he will say he didn't mention his being investigated because he didn't think it important enough (what - not being careless?). I can understand that; being pursued by the tax man for a few million quid is not the kind of thing that would pop up over anyone's radar now is it?

But if you want a laugh, pop over to the Novara Media vid on YouTube showing a young Zahawi as a councillor (with hair) lying in a hospital bed having just had a scooter accident and hurt his leg. He's complaining bitterly because he's been knocked off his bike, the bike is by the side of the road along with the offending car and ambulance, and a traffic warden has come along and slapped a ticket on his scooter!

The Novara Media presenter said it was the best supervillain origin story he'd ever seen - the point at which Zahawi decided he would never pay his dues to the UK state.....ever.......again!

:lol:
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Post by Skyweir »

today - well right now, I’m thinking of a big glass of red and a glass if my fave whiskey 🥃 lol 😂

My hubs made a delicious dinner and we are now gearing down for the evening … might have a joint and watch some sci-fi too ♥�♥�♥�♥�♥�♥�♥�
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Post by peter »

So Vladimir Putin warned Boris Johnson that he could "hurt" him (".....with a missile, it would only take a minute," .... he continued) in a telephone conversation with the ex PM, back in February of last year, while Johnson was still PM and he, Putin, had yet to invade Ukraine.

Or so says Johnson.

The Kremlin (and presumably, then, Putin) say different.

They say that there is no truth in the claim, and so we are in a stark situation of one well known liar facing off an equally well known one, and no way, without further evidence being put before us, of knowing which is telling the truth.

So let's look at it.

By accounts the conversation was (sort of) friendly enough; Johnson saying to Putin that to invade would be really unwise etc and Putin saying, "I don't want to hurt you, but with a missile it would only take a minute." - but is it the kind of thing one world leader would say to another? Really? On a telephone line that they were bound to know was being recorded?

Would Putin really be that rash.....? Or stupid?

Johnson is certainly capable of making this up, on the basis of the bigger the lie the more it is likely to be believed if nothing else. But why would he do it? Because of the propaganda value of such a claim. Because people are so gullible in this country, have been so preprepared to believe something like this, and it just helps to reinforce that we are doing the right thing in getting involved in all of this - spending our money and taking risks in a high stakes game? But essentially out of the main political ring at the moment (and it being Boris Johnson) we have to ask, what's in it for him? He certainly wants back into top tier politics - his ego could never let him think that he's had his day, it's over. In his head there will be a fantasy scene of him being called back to the dispatch box, to deliver a stricken country out of darkness in its hour of need, the hero of the hour. But in what way does this serve this? Difficult to say other than for its headline grabbing value.

Anyway, surely it's dead easy to verify it. There must be a tape of the call; it would be naive to think that such a call would not be recorded, if for only to fix on the record anything that was said in case it was needed for clarification at a later point. The call, by Johnson's account lasted for half to three-quaters of an hour. Such an extended call would of necessity be recorded by both sides. Standard practice which both parties would have accepted (and which Putin is supposed to have been comfortable making the threat in the knowledge of).

So let's have it out. Let's hear it, of have it confirmed or denied by the security services.

But hang on - is that going to happen?

If they can confirm it certainly - we could even get to hear the brief bit of conversation in which the threat is made (via, presumably an interpreter because Putin's English is not much better than Johnson's Russian is it?). But if Johnson is telling porkies, are the security services going to waste all of that propaganda? Say, "No - it's Johnson up to his old tricks I'm afraid. Putin was the model of avuncular niceness and the whole story is bunkum." I somehow think that a lot of thought will be put into this and the denial would be much slower in coming than the affirmation that Johnson's story is kosher.

Don't get me wrong; I'm certain that Putin would be quite capable of shoving a missile up Johnson's ass - would love to do it if he could get away with it.....but I just don't see him coming out and saying it over the telephone.

So I'm sorry - my money's on Johnson being the porky mouthed prevaricator, and the silence of the security services on the matter will be the proof of it.
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Blimey! We normally have to wait for Christmas for the Gorinch to put in an appearance (except in my house, where he sits in a chair in front of the television most days of the week) but this year it seems he never went home.

I refer of course to Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, chief economist at the IMF, who yesterday gave one of his biannual updates on the state of the world economy and said that every major economy in the world would experience a nice bit of growth this year - with the sole exception of the UK.

In our case, he said, he was downgrading his October forecast of 0.2 percentage growth to a negative value of -0.5 percent, a fall of 0.7 percent due in large part to the Truss/Kwarteng mini-budget, but also because of the Chancellor's high tax policy and the labour shortage in the UK market resultant from people not returning to work post covid and Brexit. These factors resulted in our being the worst performing economy in the G7, the worst of the major economies of the world - worse even than Russia under the severe sanctions it was currently placed under.

None of which will be good news for either Jeremy Hunt, the Chancellor or PM Sunak.

Already under severe pressure from just about everyone with any skin in the game to give the economy a boost by reducing taxation (currently at its highest level for seventy years), confidence in Hunt is tanking and questions are being asked about his competence for the job. The Telegraph, normally the most staunch of supporters, is clearly having doubts about him, as are many backbench Tory MPs and indeed, I'm guessing, some members of the government itself.

For his own part, Hunt is adamant that his policy of getting down inflation at the cost of promoting growth, is the right one. He says that this is the biggest help he can provide to boost growth in the longer term, and to help people through the cost of living crisis. That inflation is widely predicted to fall anyway, despite anything he might do to try to influence it, is not helping his case for the maintenance of high tax levies until inflation is seen to be falling. High taxes are anathema to the Tory Party and their voters alike. Mps are concerned that the Hunt policy could cost them their seats at the next election, and are not in the mood to remain quiet about it.

Hunt, whose recent statement on the economy, concentrating on how he intends to bring us back into growth, was widely criticised for being full of grand visions (like creating a new Silicon Valley on Thames) but with no policy to back them up, is on the ropes. Sunak, weak enough in his own position, is bound to be wondering if he is the right man for the job. But the pair are joined at the hip. It is as hard to see Sunak surviving the fall of his Chancellor as Truss before him - he has simply invested too much of himself in the same policies as Hunt- and for this reason alone, it is unlikely that any of the loud calls for a change of course will be listened to. Every authority on the subject is predicting a rough year ahead for the UK economy - and this translates directly to business and the people themselves. As Kier Stamer buffs himself up and starts to look ever more like a PM in waiting, so Sunak and Hunt look increasingly lame and out of ideas. The ongoing questions about the PM's judgement in respect of his top team remain, and are doing incremental damage to his credibility by the day. He seems incapable of getting to grips with his integrity problems as per his front bench, and given his claims on the doorsteps of Number 10 that he would make honesty and integrity central to his administration, this is a real problem. The Zahawi affair has done significant damage to his perception in the eye of the media (and public as well, no doubt) and he is, like John Major before him, going to pay a price. I think we may comfortably say that the next election is Stamer's for the loosing (not by any means impossible - events, dear boy, events), but somehow this doesn't give me much comfort.

But as an aside, to return to the role of Chancellor of the Exchequer in our political system, it has always suprised me that such an important job as controlling the entire British economy should fall to just one man. And more than this, that it seems that it can be any man (or of course woman), irrespective of their background or qualification in economics. It seems like letting any old Joe have a go at brain surgery, or more appropriately, sailing a transatlantic liner across the open ocean. I mean - what could go wrong? I'm sure these guys have lots of advisors around them, but there doesn't seem to be any real checks or balances to stop them doing pretty much what they want. Kwarteng was as clear an example of the danger of this effective freedom from constraint as you could askfor, and answers my question neatly in itself. This could go wrong! But to bring it to our current situation, how do we know that Hunt is correct his policy - or more importantly, how does he know himself? I don't hear any voices coming out in support of his policy - is he just flying by the seat of his pants? Spending fuels inflation so cut spending, both public and domestic by raising taxes and keeping them high? Is that the extent of his economic thinking? Who can tell? Is he listening to advisors, have they some great economic plan that we none of us are cognisant of?

But there you have it. My penn'o'worth for the day. Have a great one yourself and come back tomorrow!

:)
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....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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There has been a spate of recent incidents in which people have been killed in dog attacks.

Such occurences are mercifully rare, but do happen more frequently than most people probably realise, and when they do are often the more tragic because those involved are children who of course are least able to defend themselves against such assaults.

Not more than a week ago, a woman - a 'professional' dog walker - fell victim to the group of dogs she was walking (seven of them simultaneously) when a third party dog came near her group, which became excited, and rounded on her when she attempted to remonstrate with them.

And yesterday evening it is reported, a four year old girl died subsequent to a dog attack in her garden in Broadlands, Milton Keynes.

Now these two cases, in which 'man's best friend' suddenly reverts back to its more primal nature and becomes the dangerous beast which it is, exhibit the common features of such attacks - things of which the lay public are rarely cognisant (through no fault of their own) but of which anyone familiar with the behavioural patterns of dogs, will be aware.

The first is that dogs in a group do not behave in the same way as they do individually (the same is probably true of humans as well, but let's stick with dogs). The effect is incremental, but essentially as the number of dogs in the group increases, the more the individual behaviour patterns are replaced by pack behavioural ones, which are entirely different. The competitive element comes more to the fore with hierarchical positioning behaviour becoming more prominent. Few people consider themselves to be in competition with their dogs, but that is because in the normal case the dog is accepting of its second place in the hierarchy with neither question nor attempts to try to establish a differeorder. As people get more dogs, two, three, four, the attempts to compete for position in the hierarchy will often begin to show themselves. By the time you have seven dogs in a group - and the more so if the dogs are not an already established group with a known pecking order - you are into pack behavioural territory in which your leadership will be challenged, and the more so if the pack (for whatever reason) becomes excessively excited.

In the case of the lady dog walker, we have exactly that - a group of unfamiliar dogs who became excited and aggressive due to the approach of another dog, with tragic results for the lady when she attempted to exhibit dominance over the group. Note - excitement and aggression in animals are never far appart, though for most people in the relations with their pets, the former rarely spills over into the latter.

Moving on to the tragic cases of children, attacks are again often centered around the same themes. The animal sees the child as an individual that it can challenge for dominance within the pack with impunity. Dogs, even in the best of circumstances, are more likely to 'take a nip' at children, if only to 'show them who's boss'. Alone with a child, when the child starts screaming and excitement kicks in - well, it is a tragedy waiting to happen.

These are behavioural traits that are present in all dogs. It is part of their 'way'. There is often nothing especially bad about the dogs involved themselves (though that is not to say that some individual dogs or breed types are not more inclined toward aggression than others, but it was noted that in the group that killed the woman, none were on the list of breeds covered by the dangerous dogs act); they are just behaving like dogs. The failure is that of people to understand the nature the animals they have in their homes.

So three rules; avoid groups of dogs - the more in the group, the more dangerous. Do not leave toddlers unattended with dogs, pretty much however well they know each other or you know them - it only has to go wrong once. Be careful with excited dogs, especially if you are not well known by them. Hands in pockets and avoid eye contact. And if an unknown dog runs up to you, never, never, never, put your hand out to pet it; you are asking to be bitten.

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They reckon that half a million people could be out on strike today - all public sector workers who have seen their wages gradually degraded over twelve years of below inflation pay awards, while simultaneously the conditions they work under have become harder and harder due to staffing levels/retention and working hours increases.

And this has been deliberate. The services they provide are all ones that the Conservative government believes should be outsourced, providing business with access to the huge pot of money that is the Exchequer, and they were never, are never, going to do anything that increases the efficiency of the services or makes life easier for the staff that work within them. To do so would be to arouse the ire of those who pay the piper via secret donations to the party, and that would never do. Those hidden interests in our society will be looking on today, looking at the turmoil of industrial unrest and the savaged state of the services themselves, and be very happy with what they see. They know that every bad press report, every slightly contemptuous news report on Sky and the BBC, will further erode public confidence in the public services and support for the system as it stands. And they know that when the time comes to 'do things differently', it will be them who will get to drive their arms, elbows deep, into the treasury coffers. They will be perfectly happy with the job that has been done by their puppets in Westminster, and will look out in satisfaction at this mornings headlines. As with the NHS, the government will allow as much turmoil within the workforce, as much damage to the services (by said turmoil and underfunding etc) as the public will swallow, before rowing back and allowing a settlement (of sorts) to be arrived at. By this time the damage has been done and their ultimate destination been brought a few steps closer. This destruction of our publicly funded and operated services is a slow game, but being deliberately followed, as it has been since the time of Thatcher. Business is patient. It knows what its goal is - the Americanisation of our public services - and it is by slow and incremental steps such as what we are seeing today that it will get there. Forewarned is forearmed.

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How much must it piss off Rishi Sunak that every time he opens his morning paper he see's Boris Johnson mugging out at him, sticking his oar into this story, popping up there.

Johnson's cachet at the moment is Ukraine. He's the dog's bollocks over there - they all love him from President Zelensky down - and he is making maximum capital out of it. Yesterday he made a surprise visit to Washington and made a statement praising the US and saying that now is not the time for us to delay in providing Ukraine with whatever it needs in order to achieve victory against its Russian foe.

This is essentially a dig at Rishi Sunak who has ruled out sending fighter jets to the country, ostensibly because the training of pilots would take too long, but more likely because the move would be seen as escalatory and might put him at odds with other coalition leaders. Johnson - always one to capitalise on an adversary's weak spot - will not miss this opportunity to make Sunak look like the ditherer, and thereby hope to undermine him in preparation for a return by....... himself!

Prepare for lots more stunts by Johnson of this nature, and even for him to use his arraignment before the parliamentary standards committee as a stage for theatrics, the purpose of which is to keep him in the public eye.

For Johnson, no different than any other attention seeking celebrity before him, the worst thing in the world would be to be forgotten. It doesn't matter what they are saying as long as they are talking about you. There is no such thing as bad publicity for a man like Johnson. Those that love him, love him warts and all (he's proved that - it doesn't matter what he does, those people will forgive him - and a bit of centre-stage hamming it up in front of the Commons committee will do him no harm at all. So he lied to Parliament? So what! He's lied to every person he's ever spoken to from the day he left school! It's what people expect of him - and they don't care! This is how he see's it - and he's right.

I don't know if he can make it back into the top spot again (there is a rump in the Tory Party who definitely want it - chiefly because his return is their own only way back in) but he certainly knows a good opportunity for a bit of theatre when he see's it and that is exactly what the Commons hearing will give him. Whether it will be as PM again, I have my doubts, but we certainly have not heard the last of Alexander Boris de Pfeffel Johnson.
The truth is a Lion and does not need protection. Once free it will look after itself.

....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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'Of course - you know you have.'
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Post by peter »

British Gas has thrown up its hands in horror at the news that it is regularly forcing entry into people's homes - often people who are disabled or vulnerable in other ways - who find themselves in difficulty paying their energy bills, and force fitting metres which will cut them off with immediate effect if they do not keep them in credit. The tariffs on the metres are set at rates such that any outstanding owings are recovered over a period, making the weekly cost of keeping the meter in credit even harder for the hard pressed households to meet.

Details of the practice, as reported following an undercover Times newspaper investigation, have caused the company who operate it consternation and they have called a halt to the practice of immediate effect. "This is not us!", said a spokesperson for the company in the Times.

Sorry guys - but it is.

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An ex minister has told the 'i' newspaper that "The Conservative Party risks entering a new period of factionalism", following the news that ex Prime Minister Liz Truss is preparing a return to Westminster following a 'breather'. A new period of factionalism? Where has this guy been for the last five years?

(The actual headline refers to Truss making a "comeback" to lead a pro-growth movement against the Hunt-Sunak policy of high tax, low spend austerity. This will widen an already gaping fault line down the middle of the parliamentary party we are told. Not half!)

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Boris Johnson's defence during the forthcoming parliamentary privileges committee meeting is reputedly costing upwards of 220 thousand pounds, the bill for which is being footed by the taxpayer.

Seems a bit thick really, when it is his own duplicity or otherwise under scrutiny. Should this not be done as per say an employment tribunal or standard court case, whereby costs are payable by the 'defendant' (or legal aid to the tune that they qualify) and reimbursable at the discretion of the court should claims against the accused prove to be unsubstantiated?

Given how many times we have been told that Boris Johnson has a veritable money printing machine since leaving his post as PM, surely the blonde clown can afford to put up the green for his own defence? It's hard enough for an ordinary Joe to get legal aid in the courts these days (effectively closing off justice to a huge proportion of the populace, even at times of dire need), so it seems a bit off that Johnson should get equivalent aid without so much as a by your leave.

Still - these politicians know how to look after their own. They always have done.

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So Wales have banned the singing of the Tom Jones classic Delilah by choirs at rugby games, on the basis that it is about the murder of a woman and might stir up feelings of misogyny or something.

I must admit, I've never taken much notice of the words, let alone deliberated on their implications, but I do remember on one occasion belting out the song in the middle of a drunken throng in a Dublin city centre pub on a Friday night. It was sung with such abandon, such an air of joyous raucousness, that I cannot but feel sad that other such drunken mobs will not get to experience the same 'Delilah effect'.

Later that same night, I vaguely remember sitting on a bench outside said pub, definitely the worse for drink, discussing Orwell's Down and Out in London and Paris with a homeless guy. It could only happen in Dublin. It could only happen in Dublin.

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Never mind the return of Liz Truss to Westminster, the Telegraph is calling for the return of Boris Johnson - to lead NATO!

Good God, can you imagine a negotiation conducted between Boris Johnson and Vladimir Putin! It'd be like trying to catch greased eels in a bucket of oil with two fingers. If hostilities were put on hold while those two faced off across the table, that would be the end of the Ukrainian war in one fell swoop!
The truth is a Lion and does not need protection. Once free it will look after itself.

....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
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'Of course - you know you have.'
'Then let it end.'

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Post by peter »

It was always going to happen.

The moment the intellectually challanged Duke of Sussex revealed in his recent memoir Spare, that he had lost his virginity at age 17 in a field, to an older woman who, he tells us, "used him like a stallion" (she was apparently a horse enthusiast), the speculation was going to start as to the identity of the woman in question.

Harry, the fucking idiot, either was too stupid to think further than the use of the salacious tittle tattle as a means to sell more copies of his book, or he just didn't give a fuck about any feelings, or indeed repercussions it might cause to the woman. If discretion in such matters is the mark of a gentleman then we can be assured from this revelation that Harry has none of it and does not qualify.

Now, as per clockwork, British actor Rupert Everett has appeared on the front of today's Telegraph teasing that "he knows the identity" of said woman. (The Telegraph of all places - supposedly a serious paper, above all of the junk journalism of the tabloids, it shows itself to be no more immune to using prurience to pushing copy than any other tabloid rag that it would normally hold its nose to.)

And so it begins. The hunt for the (no don't even think it) woman. Perhaps she would only relish the chance to be immortalised as the temptress in question (the whole thing has a Jilly Cooper feel to it - a book cover of a tight female bum in close fitting jodpurs with a riding crop held in her hand across it), but I somehow doubt it. And what about his wife? Surely Meghan will be embarrassed by the whole thing? Why on earth would she have countenanced the inclusion in the book in the first place? It is degrading to her, degrading to her husband and degrading to the unknown third woman. We all have tales of our 'first encounter'. But most of us have the good taste, if not breeding, to keep them to ourselves.

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Cue outrage across the board as the energy giant Shell post the biggest profits in its history, having raked in forty billion dollars of profit against a backdrop of customs struggling to meet their energy bills and often being forced to go cold in the most inclement weather, when their heating should be up at full.

There will be calls for the windfall taxes already in place to be extended - but this would seem somewhat pointless because the government, so deep in hock to their energy company donors, made the situation for paying them so riddled with get-out clauses that the amounts that have actually been paid to date have been pitiful.

And Sunak, so far to the right in his thinking already, is certainly not going to do anything that he can avoid, in terms of pissing off the business interests that run so deeply in his blood. Besides, he wouldn't want to do anything to slow up that revolving door that comes in so useful when a man has 'left the field' as it were, and is scouting around for a bit of pocket money to spend in play.

None of which will help 87 year old Barbara Bolton who died at Fairfield Hospital in Bury of hypothermia after failing to be able to heat her home (as recorded by the coroner at the inquest into her death.). As Neil Kinnock said in his famous speech when he led the opposition against Margaret Thatcher, and repeated recently on the front page of the Mirror, by all means support this government if you choose to, but don't be young, don't be ill, don't be disabled, and most definitely, given Barbara Bolton's story, don't be (c)old.

-------0------

Peter Obourne, an ex Mail and Telegraph journalist who, thanks to his position of calling out the governments of this country since Johnson took up the reins, rarely ever gets a mainstream platform to air his views, has given a stark warning in a recent post on YouTube.

This government is now, and has been for a long time, so deep in thrall to a kleptocracy of corporate interest, that has effectively taken up the governance of this country, that it has pulled the entire political bandwidth of the country to the right to an already frightening degree.

With Labour and the Conservatives effectively occupying the same political space, with little to choose between them, you are already, he says, seeing the emergence of very dangerous tendencies within our polity that in previous administrations, would have bbeen impossible to exhibit. He gave as a case in point, Home Secretary Suella Braverman's statement that (relating to immigration) the will of the people must trump the Law of the Land. This, essentially nationalistic rhetoric, represents a very dangerous step away from the kind of polity we have been accustomed to - one for example in which the Unions were recognised by all sides on the House as a central plank of our democracy, where politicians of all stamps saw the NHS for the great achievement that it was - to a place where the interest of the nation plays second fiddle to the interest of an elite minority of corporate power brokers,

And the risk, as he sees it, is that Labour, in buying into this model (as they have since the days of Tony Blair - Jeremy Corbyn never really held the parliamentary party or the party executive), when they win the next election, will instead of introducing a raft of radical transformative policies ala the Alee government of old, will follow the same road as the Blair/Johnson/Truss/Sunak administrations - bowing to corporate interest- and will fail again. And during this interregnum, the deeper risk is that the Tories will reinvent and regroup yet further to the right, and coalesce around some Braverman like character who will go on to win the election following that. And if this happens, said Obourne, this country could become a very dark place to live in indeed.
The truth is a Lion and does not need protection. Once free it will look after itself.

....and the glory of the world becomes less than it was....
'Have we not served you well'
'Of course - you know you have.'
'Then let it end.'

We are the Bloodguard
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