Senate Predictions

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Vraith
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Post by Vraith »

Cail wrote:#1 isn't about raising the age, it's about eliminating the federal restriction and the withholding of highway funds.
But that doesn't mean that the social opinion won't affect the policy position.
Those kinds of connections happen all the time in politics.
There is a good chance, IMO, that the "it will encourage teenagers to drink!" crowd would overrule the "we can have better roads" group no matter the real [or unreal] connection.
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Cail
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Post by Cail »

Vraith wrote:
Cail wrote:#1 isn't about raising the age, it's about eliminating the federal restriction and the withholding of highway funds.
But that doesn't mean that the social opinion won't affect the policy position.
Those kinds of connections happen all the time in politics.
There is a good chance, IMO, that the "it will encourage teenagers to drink!" crowd would overrule the "we can have better roads" group no matter the real [or unreal] connection.
Correct, the dumb-as-bricks press and the legion of idiots on social media will turn it into "The GOP's War on Teenagers".

Anyone with half a brain will see through it.
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Ananda
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Post by Ananda »

Doc Hexnihilo wrote:
Ananda wrote:
Doc Hexnihilo wrote: I have no idea what you are talking about, and my last post was not addressed to you.
Jaha... my apologies. It's late, I saw a name with an A. Too vain to get glasses here. :lol:
Nihil wrote:And yep. If you reject the validity of individual judgments within a marketplace of competing ideas, you are rejecting the very possibility of a democratic form of government.
Really? Then we better cancel democracy. We are sold influence all of the time. Look no further than this thread.

Myth

Leftist hogwash

And yet, there is a chart that shows 91% of the time, the one with the most money wins...

When someone says something that is shown as statistics as a a myth, they are selling a perception. This perception will not be bought by all, but those inclined to want to think that might start parroting that line. They repeat it to others, furthering the marketing of the idea that this is a myth despite the statistics.

When someone does call it leftist hogwash (what *is* hogwash!??! doesn't sound nice!) despite the statistics, they are selling a point of view. Those inclined to agree with that point of view will likely agree because they want to agree because it fits their biases. They will perpetuate this idea.

The thing about repeating things is that, even if they are not true, they work into the mind. It is a classic marketing strategy and used, obviously, in politics as well as product selling.

It is my opinion that people act on emotion more than anything else. And this is even if they feel they are very rational. marketing mostly is designed to appeal to our emotions, needs, wants. It is rarely aimed solely at our rational thought.

Have you ever learned about neural linguistic programming and manipulation? Marketing is like that- aimed at bypassing the rational decision making process. And, we are very good at marketing.

Don't even get into the socialisation process and how your social structure influences the frame for all your thought.

Besides, isn't this all a straw man to deflect from the chart?

:lol: you don't believe in any democracy if you don't agree with me...

Finally, what is your new picture? I like it and it looks familiar, but I cannot place it. I knew the last two I saw, but not this one.
All action derives from emotion. Study the words emotion and motivation themselves. To move. “I am moved.” Emotions give an impulse to that leads in motion. Reason alone cannot provide the impetus to act, the significance behind events, the meaning that underlies our values and motives. What reason can do is be used to segregate the dross from the things that matter, to interpret events according to their true significance, and to suggest strategies for the achievement of goals.

The mere fact that we are all ruled by inner motives and emotional impulses does not mean that our judgments are invalid. They remain valid, whether or not they are mistaken. You have the right to believe that your misguided opinion is correct, and you are entitled to your mistaken judgment. Whether you were influenced by your sunny Scandinavian socialist environment – no doubt you have been – is irrelevant. Your judgment is still your judgment, and it must be respected as such. Were we to vote on something collectively – supposing we were members of a common democratic polity – your vote would count as much as mine.

Where we run into trouble is when we begin to want to use that political process to silence those we disagree with – to say, you can’t speak too loudly or too broadly because you are convincing too many people to agree with you, and I don’t like your opinion nor think it wise. Once you’ve decided to limit the exchange of political ideas in the name of preserving your idea of virtue, you’ve trumped the popular will and thus democracy. It really doesn’t matter how you dress that up – whether as a good thing that leads to a good outcome or as simply the self-evident wisdom of the elect – it is still totalitarian and undemocratic.
Again with the absolutism, Nihil. I didn't say that we are just instinct. We can do more than that, but even the reason we apply is coloured by our upbringing. Look at how dismissive you are of me and 'sunny scandinavian socialist environment'. We aren't socialist, first of all, but, if we were, there would be nothing wrong with it other than your american upbringing has taught you it is something awful. Things just are and you put the emotion on them.

If you truly think you're so free and rational, I'd go to pulp fiction and say that's pride fucking with you. If you don't want to accept that we are easily influenced and are influenced from the day we are born till the day we die and that influence affects how we think and what we do, then cool for you. Of course people votes on what they *feel* is right and what they have concluded. That we are influenced doesn't mean that voting does not take place or that there is never any reason applied.
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Post by Obi-Wan Nihilo »

Ananda, you seem to be arguing with yourself now, so I'm going to leave you to it.
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Post by Ananda »

Doc Hexnihilo wrote:Ananda, you seem to be arguing with yourself now, so I'm going to leave you to it.
If you say so. I was beginning to feel it was like this spear anyway:

------------------------

We can just say that you are right, I am wrong. Of course voting takes place without influence and people who believes otherwise don't believe in democracy and think poorly of other people. Of course.
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Post by Obi-Wan Nihilo »

That's fairly childish of you Ananda -- one might even say child like.

Influence happens. It doesn't matter. That is what democracy is about after all. Influencing the voter to support your agenda, to give his consent. Whether you win him over or lose him, the democratic process requires you to count his judgment as equal with others -- that it possesses an inherent dignity and validity that transcends the preferences of any other person. And when the votes are tallied, the popularity of various political factions is measured, resulting in a distribution of power. To question the legitimacy of that process by casting doubt on the validity of the individual's judgment and vote, requires the adoption of an elitist position. Which is itself a valid way of thinking politically -- one endorsed for instance by Plato and Socrates, who felt that virtue was incompatible with the popular will -- but it is not a democratic one.

The other thing implicit within doubts about the legitimacy of the popular will, is that your justification rests on a manifestation of the popular will that you find disagreeable, or even odious. So you have made your own value judgments and aesthetics the yardstick of where the average voter is able think for himself, and where he his not: where he needs the agency of the enlightened (yourself, for instance, or those whom you support) to protect him from his own faulty judgments. It doesn't really matter how much you protest that your opinion is not undemocratic, not paternalistic, not elitist, and that saying so is an extreme or absolutist point of view (even if you find it hurtful). If it walks like a duck, looks like a duck, and sounds like a duck, it isn't extremism to conclude that it is, in fact, a duck.
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Post by Ananda »

Doc Hexnihilo wrote:That's fairly childish of you Ananda -- one might even say child like.
Yes, you win, you are right. I'd rather not have you go back to being a dick to me all of the time. This is just not even remotely important.
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Post by Obi-Wan Nihilo »

Black and white thinking is pretty childish in my book. But I guess it's the book of a dick anyway, so who cares?

Cheers :)
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Post by Cail »

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"There is only one basic human right, the right to do as you damn well please. And with it comes the only basic human duty, the duty to take the consequences." - PJ O'Rourke
_____________
"Men and women range themselves into three classes or orders of intelligence; you can tell the lowest class by their habit of always talking about persons; the next by the fact that their habit is always to converse about things; the highest by their preference for the discussion of ideas." - Charles Stewart
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"I believe there are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations." - James Madison
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Post by Obi-Wan Nihilo »

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That's a lot of Dicks.
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Post by Icarus Unfallen »

I've read enough of Ananda's posts elsewhere on the Watch to get the impression that (in the right setting and mindset), she might take a healthy interest in having that variety to sample.
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Post by sgt.null »

Doc Hexnihilo wrote:Image
sorry, who is he? the only one I didn't know.

I believe the drinking age should be 18. we let people vote, smoke, marry, enter contracts and go to war at 18.

Weed should be legal as well.

I am so sick of the evangelical right, and I'm a conservative.
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Post by Obi-Wan Nihilo »

Let's put it this way. His name encapsulates the montage I have presented. Of which he is a part.

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Post by Ananda »

And there we have it. Your armour is up. From what I've seen, it consists of being mean and puffing up in a pretentiousness. I did get a glimpse behind that armour once and, I will always enjoy the glimpse of you that way and will always like you because of it.

And, it is you who said my way or you reject all these things. That was the black/white part. Not even sure how it is a debate given the chart showing 91% winning with most money spent. Anyway, we are done. As Ana repeats to Christian in shades of grey, laters, baby.
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Ananda
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Post by Ananda »

Icarus Unfallen wrote:I've read enough of Ananda's posts elsewhere on the Watch to get the impression that (in the right setting and mindset), she might take a healthy interest in having that variety to sample.
So true. :D
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